Nathan Lambert argues that 2026 AI progress is becoming higher-stakes, with model capabilities, work patterns, economics, and real-world risks all escalating. He says open models still lack a true Claude Code and Opus 4.5-style agent moment, and Gemini has no clear competitor to Claude Code or Codex yet. The essay also tracks Mythos, American open-model momentum, frontier-lab competition, and mounting intervention from governments and other power structures.
隨著 AI 提供的決策與建議在工作中變得越來越重要,傳統的簡單測試已不足以評估其極限。華頓商學院教授 Ethan Mollick 指出,我們需要透過結構化的「工作面試」流程,包含情境問答、極限測試與邏輯追問,來評估 AI 在特定任務中的真實實力、潛在偏見與幻覺機率,從而決定如何安全地與其協作。