Nathan Lambert argues that 2026 AI progress is becoming higher-stakes, with model capabilities, work patterns, economics, and real-world risks all escalating. He says open models still lack a true Claude Code and Opus 4.5-style agent moment, and Gemini has no clear competitor to Claude Code or Codex yet. The essay also tracks Mythos, American open-model momentum, frontier-lab competition, and mounting intervention from governments and other power structures.
This Import AI issue is a long essay and fiction piece about living through rapid AI progress. Clark uses personal experience and Anthropic’s internal use of Claude to show work shifting toward delegation, verification, observability, and agent management. He then offers speculative 2026-2028 predictions around biology, autonomous companies, robotics, recursive self-improvement, and a positive singularity story focused on healthcare.